Xun Pang

Professor of International Relations

School of International Studies

Peking University

xpang@pku.edu.cn

Curriculum Vitae 中文简历

Xun Pang

About

I am a tenured full professor at Peking University's School of International Studies and director of the PKU Analytics Lab for Global Risk Politics. I serve on the editorial board of Political Analysis and as an associate editor of the Japanese Journal of Political Science.

My research spans global risk politics and governance, foreign policy decision-making, security and diplomacy of technologies and economies, and quantitative and generative methods for social science. My work has appeared in leading journals including Political Analysis, International Organization, Review of International Political Economy, Political Science Research & Methods, International Studies Quarterly, Social Sciences in China, and World Economy and Politics.

Before joining Peking University, I was a tenure-track assistant professor at Princeton University (2010–2012), and later an associate professor (2012–2014) and full professor with tenure at Tsinghua University (2014–2022). At Tsinghua, I served as vice dean of the Institute for International Relations (2016–2020) and co-director of the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy (2013–2016). I received my Ph.D. in Political Science from Washington University in St. Louis, M.A. in International Relations from Peking University, and B.A. in International Relations and Economics (double major) from Peking University.

Research Interests

🌍 Global Risk Politics and Governance
🎯 Foreign Policy Decision-Making and Evaluation
🔒 Security and Diplomacy of Technologies and Economies
📊 Quantitative and Generative Methods for Social Science

Publications

Books

  • Global Risk Politics in the Age of Anxiety and Rage: The Logic of "Hot Politics" in Security and Governance Peking University Press, 2026
  • BRICS Development Aid Cooperation in Global Governance World Affairs Press, 2016

Journal Articles

2026
  • Qi Liu, X. Pang* "Moral Hazard in Global Cooperation Networks: Evidence from Bilateral Swap Agreements" International Studies Quarterly, Accepted
  • X. Pang, Mingzhu Qu "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence Intervention in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict on Relations Among Major Powers" Russian Studies (Chinese), Issue 1, 2026
  • Qi Liu, X. Pang*, James Raymond Vreeland "China's Bilateral Swap Agreements and Foreign Policy" Review of International Political Economy, 2026, DOI:10.1080/09692290.2026.2627944
  • Xin Ouyang, Litao Liu, Qiance Liu, Wu Chen, Chao Wang, X. Pang, Canfei He, Gang Liu "Systemic risks and cascading dynamics in the global cobalt supply chain" Environmental Science and Ecotechnology, 29 (2026) 100654
  • X. Pang "The Green Security Dilemma of Critical Mineral Supply Chains" World Economics and Politics (Chinese), Issue 1, 2026
2025
  • Feng Yang, Yuxin Hou, X. Pang* "Imputation of International Trust Survey Data Based on Large Language Models" Journal of International Political Science (Chinese), Issue 4, 2025
  • Qinqian He, X. Pang*, Yaqian He, Yekai Xu, M.H. Connolly "Agricultural Geography and International Water Conflict: Evidence from Remotely Sensed Data" International Studies Quarterly 69(3), 2025 [PDF]
  • J.R. Hollyer, X. Pang* (co-first author), B.P. Rosendorff, J.R. Vreeland "Do the Bretton Woods Institutions promote economic transparency?" Political Science Research and Methods 13(2): 354-372, 2025 [PDF]
  • S. Tang, X. Pang "Artificial Intelligence and International Relations Studies: Bring the Human Back In" International Politics Studies (Chinese), 2025
  • X. Pang "Global Order and AI Alignment: A Perspective of International Relations" Theoretical Frontier (Chinese), 2025
2023
  • L. Liu, X. Pang "A Bayesian Multifactor Spatio-Temporal Model for Estimating Time-Varying Network Interdependence" Political Science Research and Methods 11(4): 823-837 [PDF] [Replication]
2022
  • S. Tang, X. Pang "Comprehensive Security: Risk and Its Political Logic" International Politics Studies (Chinese)
  • X. Pang "Innovative Academic Community: The Mission and Spirit of the Social Science Laboratory" Universities and Disciplines (Chinese)
  • X. Pang, L. Lu, Y. Xu "A Bayesian Alternative to Synthetic Control for Comparative Case Studies" Political Analysis 30(2): 269-288 [PDF] [Replication]
2021
  • X. Pang "Identification and Credibility in Social Science Research" China Social Science Review (Chinese)
  • X. Pang, Q. He "Mapping the International System: A Network Analysis of Structural Power in Production Networks" Social Sciences in China (Chinese)
  • S. Wang, X. Pang "Global Value Chains and Political Risk to Foreign Direct Investment" World Economy and Politics (Chinese)
2020
  • X. Pang, C. Chen "The Hirschman Effect of China's Bilateral Cross-Currency SWAP Agreements" World Economy and Politics (Chinese)
  • C. Chen, X. Pang "Spatial-Temporal Patterns of Terrorist Attacks in Africa: A Split Population Duration Modeling with Geocoded Data" Foreign Affairs Review (Chinese)
2019
  • X. Pang, Z. Liu "Tracing China-US Relationship with Machine-Coded Event Data: Reciprocity, Policy Inertia, and Third Party's Influence" World Economy and Politics (Chinese)
2018
  • X. Pang, S. Wang "The International Political Significance of Chinese and US Foreign Aid: As Seen in United Nations General Assembly Voting" Social Sciences in China 39(1): 5-33
2017
  • X. Pang, S. Wang "The International Influence of China's Foreign Aid: The Case of Vote-Buying in the United Nations General Assembly" Social Sciences in China (Chinese)
  • X. Pang "Revealing Biases in the Power of Indicators: A Causal Analysis of the IEG Ratings of Aid Project Implementation Performance" World Economy and Politics (Chinese)
  • X. Pang "Statistical Prediction in International Relations: An Example of Conflict Prediction" Quarterly Journal of International Politics (Chinese) 2(3): 1-32
  • X. Pang, L. Liu, S. Ma "China's Network Strategy for Seeking Great Power Status" The Chinese Journal of International Politics 10(1): 1-29
2016
  • X. Pang "Shared Challenges and Solutions: The Common Future of Comparative Politics and Quantitative Methodology" Chinese Political Science Review 1(3): 472-488
  • X. Pang "A Bayesian Dynamic Model for Analyzing Path-Dependence" Social Science Research (Chinese) 1(1)
2015
  • S. Chaudoin, H.V. Milner, X. Pang "International Systems and Domestic Politics: Linking Complex Theories with Empirical Models in International Relations" International Organization 69(2): 275-309 [PDF]
  • X. Pang, Y. He "US Hegemony and International Institutions: 'Power-vs-Autonomy' in Regional Development Banks" World Economics and Politics (Chinese)
  • X. Pang, J. Quan "Understanding and Measuring Relational Power: A Network Strategy" World Economics and Politics (Chinese)
2014
  • X. Pang "Varying Responses to Common Shocks and Complex Cross-Sectional Dependence: Dynamic Multilevel Modeling with Multifactor Error Structures for Time-Series Cross-Sectional Data" Political Analysis 22(4): 464-496 [PDF] [Replication]
  • X. Pang "Ethnic Minority Rule and Civil War: A Bayesian Dynamic Multilevel Analysis" In Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences (Wiley), pp. 39-66
  • X. Pang, Y. He "Why Foreign Aid is an Ineffective Tool of Foreign Policy: Bureaucratic Politics and U.S. Foreign Assistance" Foreign Affairs Review (Chinese)
  • X. Pang "Misunderstandings of Quantitative Methods: Concepts, Principles, and Practices" World Economics and Politics (Chinese)
2013
  • X. Pang "Emerging Donors: A Vertical Paradigm of Foreign Development Aid" World Economics and Politics (Chinese)
2012
  • X. Pang, B. Friedman, A.D. Martin, K.M. Quinn "Endogenous Jurisprudential Regimes" Political Analysis 20(3): 417-436
  • X. Pang "Strategies for Solving Collective Action Problems in Global Public Goods Provision" World Economics and Politics (Chinese)
2010
  • X. Pang "Modeling Heterogeneity and Serial Correlation in Binary TSCS Data: A Bayesian Multilevel Model with AR(p) Errors" Political Analysis 18(4): 470-498 [PDF]
Earlier
  • X. Pang "Energy Security as International Politics" Quarterly Journal of International Politics (Chinese), 2007
  • X. Pang "Role, Identity, and Foreign Policy Making: A Dynamic Analytical Framework" International Politics Quarterly (Chinese), 2006
  • X. Pang "Signaling Risk-Taking Willingness in Crisis Bargaining in International Relations" World Economics and Politics (Chinese), 2005
  • Z. Ye, X. Pang "A Comparative Study on International Relations Theories in Modern Times and Wisdoms in the Ancient China" World Economics and Politics (Chinese), 2001

Software

BPCausal

R package for Bayesian Alternative to Synthetic Control Method for Comparative Case Studies

BPNet

R package for Bayesian Multilevel Spatio-Temporal Model with Time-varying Autoregressive Coefficient and Multifactor Residuals

GLMMarp

R package for GLMM-AR(p) model for binary time-series cross-sectional data

Teaching

  • Emerging Technologies, Global Risk, and National Security — Peking University, Undergraduate
  • Empirical Research in International Relation — Peking University, Graduate
  • Data Thinking and Analysis in Social Sciences — Peking University, Undergraduate & Graduate

© 2025 Xun Pang. All rights reserved.

School of International Studies, Peking University